The 12-month Euribor is one year in negative

Published on March 23rd 2017

The index to which most Spanish mortgages are referenced has completed its first year in negative monthly rate and will close the next February to -0.105%.

In daily rates, the index deepened its fall throughout February and was placed at -0.113% last Friday. In the absence of two days to close the month, the Euríbor stands at -0.105% in monthly rate, which is 0.097 points less compared to February last year.

In this way, 20-year mortgages with a Euríbor + 1% spread to which they will review will have a discount of € 5.17 per month or € 62.04 per year.

Although the index is deepening in its historical lows, the declines are becoming smaller, although the experts do not augur, for the moment, a rebound in the short term. "In the medium term we think that the bearish travel of the Euríbor is scarce," said XTB analyst Carlos Fernández.

The expert explained that the excess liquidity provided by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the low interest rates have been the main cause of the Euríbor has remained a year in negative territory.

However, it points out that data such as the interest rate of fixed rate mortgage loans are anticipating a change in the index's trend. "Throughout the month of February there have been several financial institutions that have started to raise interest rates on their fixed mortgages, indicating a clear change of trend with respect to previous months," he said.

For this reason, the analyst says that if we take these factors into account and the fact that "it does not make much sense" to see the Euribor in negative terms, "it is natural to think that it starts to rebound in months and that it Levels greater than 0 ".

Taking into account this context, Bankinter analysts expect the index to be -0.07% at the end of the first quarter of the year, -0.05% in the second quarter and -0.03% in the third quarter , To close the exercise in 0.05%, a value that also has in its calculations Sabadell.

The Euribor Plus is expected to be operational during the first half of the year, which will replace the current 12-month Euribor as the reference index for mortgage loans and will improve the current benchmark.

Faced with the prospect that the Euríbor will begin to rebound this year, experts predict a rise in mortgages at variable rates in the coming years. In fact, the unstoppable fall of the Euríbor has led banks to bet especially since 2016 on fixed rate versus variable rate.

Source: Expansión

  • Barcelona

    93 293 19 07

    Paseo de Gracia 85, 2ª planta

  • Madrid

    91 800 54 66

    Serrano 43-45, 4ª planta

  • Valencia

    96 128 59 68

    Calle Mossen Femades 3, bajo dcha. Ed. Lauria

  • Palma

    97 100 32 03

    Calle Unió 9

We use our own and third-party cookies to make our website work safely and personalize its content. Likewise, we use cookies to measure and obtain data on your navigation and to adjust advertising to your tastes and preferences. Press the "Accept all" button to confirm that you have read and accepted the information presented. To manage or disable these cookies, click on "Configuration". For more information see our cookies policy.
Modify cookies
Technical and functional Always active
This website uses its own Cookies to collect information in order to improve our services. If you continue browsing, you accept their installation. The user has the possibility of configuring his browser, being able, if he so wishes, to prevent them from being installed on his hard drive, although he must bear in mind that such action may cause difficulties in navigating the website.
Analytics and personalization
They allow the monitoring and analysis of the behavior of the users of this website. The information collected through this type of cookies is used to measure the activity of the web for the elaboration of user navigation profiles in order to introduce improvements based on the analysis of the usage data made by the users of the service. They allow us to save the user's preference information to improve the quality of our services and to offer a better experience through recommended products.
Marketing and advertising
These cookies are used to store information about the preferences and personal choices of the user through the continuous observation of their browsing habits. Thanks to them, we can know the browsing habits on the website and display advertising related to the user's browsing profile.